Dating game economist

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The Economist says "China's GDP, measured in nominal dollars, will be the world's largest by 2018".Michael Pettis at China Financial Markets disagrees and says I would like to make a bet with The Economist.I recently read in The Guardian an article by enthusiastic orientalist Martin Jacques in which he says that The Economist has just predicted that China's GDP, measured in nominal dollars, will be the world's largest by 2018.Earlier estimates, he says had China becoming the largest economy in the world by 2027.I have always been a little skeptical about the 2027 claim ...given how much we would have to assume about the sustainability of Chinese growth, about the likelihood of current GDP numbers not having been vastly inflated by an over-investment boom, and about the unstable range of political outcomes.